If Citizenship Amendment Bill is passed, the Nationalist people Party (NPP) and its leader Conrad Sangma is in a position to bring down two of the BJP's coalition government in Nagaland and Manipur.
With Mizoram going wild over CAB and even demanding separate country, the dream of North East Democratic Alliance (NEDA) is falling apart because of CAB and the BJP is unlikely to risk such a huge loss before General Election.
Following is the party position in Manipur and Nagaland. In Manipur, it is quite simple, all Conrad Sangma has to join hands with Congress and Biren Singh led BJP Government is out on the cold.
In Nagaland also Conrad has to dial JD(U) bosses and Mamata Banarjee and it will take no time for NPP(2), JD-U(1) and AITC(1)- to send Neiphu Rio nightmare with a tie of 30-30 in the house of 60 and the lone independent can go either way.
Here is the seat strength at this moment
MANIPUR(60)
Ruling Coalition
BJP 21
NPF 4
NPP 4
IND 1
LJP 1
AITC 1
Total : 32
Opposition
INC 28
NAGALAND(60)
Ruling Coalition
NDPP 18
BJP 12
NPP 2
JD-U 1
IND 1
Total 34
Opposition
NPF 26